{"id":1747,"date":"2025-01-09T22:18:11","date_gmt":"2025-01-09T22:18:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/isimarkets.com\/insights\/um-mergulho-profundo-no-comercio-chines-participacao-nas-exportacoes-globais-e-setores-em-ascensao\/"},"modified":"2026-03-06T18:48:20","modified_gmt":"2026-03-06T18:48:20","slug":"um-mergulho-profundo-no-comercio-chines-participacao-nas-exportacoes-globais-e-setores-em-ascensao","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/isimarkets.com\/pt-br\/publications\/um-mergulho-profundo-no-comercio-chines-participacao-nas-exportacoes-globais-e-setores-em-ascensao\/","title":{"rendered":"Um mergulho profundo no com\u00e9rcio chin\u00eas: participa\u00e7\u00e3o nas exporta\u00e7\u00f5es globais e setores em ascens\u00e3o"},"content":{"rendered":"

Um mergulho profundo no com\u00e9rcio chin\u00eas: participa\u00e7\u00e3o nas exporta\u00e7\u00f5es globais e setores em ascens\u00e3o <\/h2>\r\n\r\n

Report realizado em 14 de Novembro-2024 <\/h3>\r\n\r\n

 <\/p>\r\n\r\n

\"aHR0cHM6Ly9pbnNpZ2h0cy5jZWljZGF0YS5jb20vYXBpL3YxL3Zpc3VhbC83ZWZhZDI0ZS02ZjA5LTRiMjMtOTZlNC1jNDRhNTM2NWE3NDcucG5nP2NvcHlfaWQ9YTZhMzAwNDUtZWI4Mi00MDgyLWE5ZDItMDJjMTY4YWViNjQ2JmZhbGxiYWNrPSUyRmltYWdlJmFjY2Vzc190b2tlbj1VMkZzZEdWa1gxJTJGeE5jZDBCVjYxMGZNRWdUZEkzV2RzNjB0ZlMwNyUyQkNTUks1ZWplcDlxNVNUR2UlMkZGOHpWNk05RWRGQlNOSkNrZ3JxRXVYWlNVMGtUbSUyRkdEd0lSWmtBMUpXTm1BQnY0N3NvJTNE\" <\/p>\r\n\r\n

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Enquanto os mercados antecipam as inten\u00e7\u00f5es do presidente eleito dos EUA, Donald Trump, sobre com\u00e9rcio internacional e tarifas, criamos visualiza\u00e7\u00f5es hol\u00edsticas e de longo prazo das exporta\u00e7\u00f5es da China. <\/p>\r\n\r\n

A China entrou para a Organiza\u00e7\u00e3o Mundial do Com\u00e9rcio (OMC) em 2001 e, como mostra nosso primeiro gr\u00e1fico, foi quando sua crescente participa\u00e7\u00e3o nas exporta\u00e7\u00f5es globais de mercadorias come\u00e7ou a se acelerar. De 4,3% naquele ano, a participa\u00e7\u00e3o da China havia se aproximado de 14% em 2015. <\/p>\r\n\r\n

\u00c9 interessante analisar o primeiro mandato de Trump: embora a participa\u00e7\u00e3o da China nas exporta\u00e7\u00f5es tenha recuado na \u00e9poca de sua elei\u00e7\u00e3o, sua participa\u00e7\u00e3o voltou a aumentar at\u00e9 2018-19, quando o presidente estava lan\u00e7ando as tarifas. <\/p>\r\n\r\n

Como escrevemos anteriormente, esse per\u00edodo foi quando o \u201cdesvio de com\u00e9rcio\u201d para mercados fora dos EUA aumentou. Podemos ver o resultado dessa tend\u00eancia em nossa segunda visualiza\u00e7\u00e3o: Esse gr\u00e1fico de pizza mostra que, quando agrupados, os pa\u00edses da ASEAN se tornaram o maior destino, respondendo por mais de 16% das exporta\u00e7\u00f5es at\u00e9 o momento em 2024. Isso supera a Uni\u00e3o Europeia e os EUA, com 14,7% e 14,5%, respectivamente. <\/p>\r\n\r\n

Nossos quatro \u00faltimos gr\u00e1ficos detalham os fatores importantes que impulsionam as tend\u00eancias de exporta\u00e7\u00e3o m\u00eas a m\u00eas nos \u00faltimos dois anos. Desde meados de 2023, o crescimento das exporta\u00e7\u00f5es da China tem sido impulsionado pela quantidade, n\u00e3o pelo pre\u00e7o; os produtos mec\u00e2nicos e el\u00e9tricos t\u00eam sido um not\u00e1vel impulsionador do crescimento em 2024. (Em outubro deste ano, as exporta\u00e7\u00f5es da China estavam crescendo a um ritmo anual de 12,7% em termos de d\u00f3lares). <\/p>\r\n\r\n

Nosso \u00faltimo mapa de calor d\u00e1 uma olhada ainda mais detalhada no desempenho relativo de diferentes setores no mix de exporta\u00e7\u00e3o. O alum\u00ednio e o ferro tiveram um impulso positivo recentemente; os telefones celulares e os navios foram mais fracos em 2024 do que em 2023. <\/p>\r\n\r\n

 <\/p>\r\n\r\n

\"aHR0cHM6Ly9pbnNpZ2h0cy5jZWljZGF0YS5jb20vYXBpL3YxL3Zpc3VhbC9mZTg4YWUyYi1kMTE4LTQ2ODktOTMyNC0wNWEyMDU2NjhlMjEucG5nP2NvcHlfaWQ9NTdiMmIwMGUtOWEwZS00MTllLWJjZTctN2ZjYzk4OTQwNzc4JmZhbGxiYWNrPSUyRmltYWdlJmFjY2Vzc190b2tlbj1VMkZzZEdWa1gxJTJGSXhFUzJBRkJsd3NkOUVhJTJGV0NKZVBNaHVHZ2VvZCUyQk5udEpSN3BPUXpJWWlVWUlnYjd3VGhublF2QlE5bDlDYTZKOGdvazN1OTBqSlFYbGR3RWpRY0JMSXdQJTJCaExpSkM4JTNE\" <\/p>\r\n\r\n

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 <\/p>\r\n\r\n

Se voc\u00ea deseja ler este relat\u00f3rio na sua vers\u00e3o mais completa e entender melhor como extrair os dados mais relevantes para seus projetos, convidamos voc\u00ea a fazer uma demonstra\u00e7\u00e3o gratuita na CEIC EPFR hoje mesmo<\/a>!  <\/p>\r\n\r\n

 <\/p>\r\n\r\n

1. Conhe\u00e7a tamb\u00e9m: Dados macro e microecon\u00f4micos<\/a> em que voc\u00ea pode confiar <\/p>\r\n\r\n

2. Blog CEIC: Latest Insights<\/a>  <\/p>\r\n\r\n

3. Conhe\u00e7a um relat\u00f3rio CEIC | EPFR exemplo:  2024: Um ano de surpresas nos \u00edndices econ\u00f4micos e de infla\u00e7\u00e3o do Citigroup<\/a> <\/p>\r\n\r\n

4. Cliente CEIC?<\/strong> Leia este Report completo aqui<\/a>.  <\/p>\r\n\r\n

 <\/p>\r\n\r\n

Fontes: CEIC EPRF Insights \u2013 Industry Report. <\/strong><\/p>\r\n\r\n

 <\/p>\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Desde sua entrada na OMC em 2001, a China expandiu significativamente sua participa\u00e7\u00e3o nas exporta\u00e7\u00f5es globais, passando de 4,3% para quase 14% em 2015. Apesar das tarifas impostas durante o governo Trump, o com\u00e9rcio chin\u00eas mostrou resili\u00eancia, redirecionando exporta\u00e7\u00f5es para mercados como os pa\u00edses da ASEAN, que em 2024 ultrapassaram a Uni\u00e3o Europeia e os EUA como principais destinos.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":1748,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","cpa_authors":[],"cpa_override_default":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[899],"tags":[],"product":[1050],"region":[956],"class_list":["post-1747","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-publications","product-ceic","region-brazil"],"yoast_head":"\nUm mergulho profundo no com\u00e9rcio chin\u00eas: participa\u00e7\u00e3o nas exporta\u00e7\u00f5es globais e setores em ascens\u00e3o - ISI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/isimarkets.com\/pt-br\/publications\/um-mergulho-profundo-no-comercio-chines-participacao-nas-exportacoes-globais-e-setores-em-ascensao\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Um mergulho profundo no com\u00e9rcio chin\u00eas: participa\u00e7\u00e3o nas exporta\u00e7\u00f5es globais e setores em ascens\u00e3o\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Desde sua entrada na OMC em 2001, a China expandiu significativamente sua participa\u00e7\u00e3o nas exporta\u00e7\u00f5es globais, passando de 4,3% para quase 14% em 2015. 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