{"id":2986,"date":"2025-02-12T12:29:25","date_gmt":"2025-02-12T12:29:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/isimarkets.com\/insights\/o-pib-dos-eua-decepciona-mas-o-consumo-continua-forte-enquanto-isso-a-europa-estagna\/"},"modified":"2026-03-07T20:34:36","modified_gmt":"2026-03-07T20:34:36","slug":"o-pib-dos-eua-decepciona-mas-o-consumo-continua-forte-enquanto-isso-a-europa-estagna","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/isimarkets.com\/pt-br\/publications\/o-pib-dos-eua-decepciona-mas-o-consumo-continua-forte-enquanto-isso-a-europa-estagna\/","title":{"rendered":"O PIB dos EUA decepciona \u2013 mas o consumo continua forte. Enquanto isso, a Europa estagna"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O PIB dos EUA decepciona \u2013 mas o consumo continua forte. Enquanto isso, a Europa estagna\u00a0<\/h2>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A economia dos EUA cresceu a um ritmo mais lento do que o esperado no \u00faltimo trimestre de 2024, expandindo-se a uma taxa anualizada de 2,3% em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao trimestre anterior. Esse resultado ficou abaixo da estimativa de consenso de 2,6%.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">No entanto, os mercados interpretaram em grande parte o relat\u00f3rio do PIB como um sinal de for\u00e7a. Isso se deve ao aparentemente impar\u00e1vel consumidor americano, como demonstra nosso primeiro gr\u00e1fico. Os gastos com consumo pessoal (PCE) contribu\u00edram com 2,8 pontos percentuais para a taxa de crescimento, o maior impacto desde o primeiro trimestre de 2023.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Esse consumo robusto \u2013 que representa a maior parte da economia americana \u2013 tamb\u00e9m ajuda a contextualizar a decis\u00e3o do Federal Reserve de manter sua taxa de juros inalterada nesta semana.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O componente PCE em si cresceu 4,2% no quarto trimestre; o consumo de bens dur\u00e1veis saltou 12,1% \u2013 o primeiro crescimento de dois d\u00edgitos desde o in\u00edcio de 2023. A categoria de bens dur\u00e1veis inclui ve\u00edculos motorizados e produtos recreativos, e compras de alto valor como essas tendem a indicar que os americanos est\u00e3o otimistas em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 sua situa\u00e7\u00e3o financeira futura.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O que ent\u00e3o puxou o PIB para baixo? O ritmo mais lento de acumula\u00e7\u00e3o de estoques e a queda nos investimentos foram os principais fatores negativos, cada um reduzindo um ponto percentual do crescimento. De acordo com algumas interpreta\u00e7\u00f5es, as empresas estavam vendendo bens dur\u00e1veis a partir dos estoques para atender \u00e0 crescente demanda dos consumidores \u2013 um sinal de potencial fortalecimento econ\u00f4mico futuro quando esses estoques forem repostos. A queda nos investimentos pode estar relacionada \u00e0 incerteza sobre mudan\u00e7as nas pol\u00edticas devido \u00e0 nova administra\u00e7\u00e3o nos EUA, bem como \u00e0 greve na Boeing.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A ampla for\u00e7a dos EUA contrasta com a fraqueza persistente do outro lado do Atl\u00e2ntico. O Banco Central Europeu cortou as taxas de juros em mais 25 pontos-base na quinta-feira; um dia antes, dados mostraram que a zona do euro n\u00e3o conseguiu crescer no quarto trimestre, apesar das proje\u00e7\u00f5es de um leve aumento (0,1%).\u00a0<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/isimarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/clipboard_image_data-5.png\" alt=\"aHR0cHM6Ly9pbnNpZ2h0cy5jZWljZGF0YS5jb20vYXBpL3YxL3Zpc3VhbC80N2VlMzY5MC0wOGY4LTQ5N2ItYWNhMC05NzkwMmFmYzJjMGQucG5nP2NvcHlfaWQ9Mjk4NzgwNGMtYWQ3ZS00OGU1LTg4ZTMtYTI3YWEwMDhiZWYzJmZhbGxiYWNrPSUyRmltYWdlJmFjY2Vzc190b2tlbj1VMkZzZEdWa1gxJTJCRWVKOTVvbFNpN0xaenJHd01JNWRkdCUyQmFhNDk1VXlCazhzNVFKaE5WN2JuZXFZRHRUYVQ0Wk96ZlBobTVidnh6NjFmajVPeUg1Q0J4YnB2TE1qMk11biUyRjB6R2gyVlhPOCUzRA==\" \/><\/figure>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Se voc\u00ea deseja ler este relat\u00f3rio na sua vers\u00e3o mais completa e entender melhor como extrair os dados mais relevantes para seus projetos, convidamos voc\u00ea a fazer uma <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ceicdata.com\/pt\/ceic-request-a-demo\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">demonstra\u00e7\u00e3o gratuita na CEIC EPFR hoje mesmo<\/a>!\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>1. Blog CEIC:<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ceicdata.com\/pt\/our-insights\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Latest Insights<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>2. Conhe\u00e7a um relat\u00f3rio CEIC | EPFR exemplo:<\/strong>\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ceicdata.com\/pt\/blog\/2024-um-ano-de-surpresas-nos-%C3%ADndices-econ%C3%B4micos-e-de-infla%C3%A7%C3%A3o-do-citigroup\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">2024: Um ano de surpresas nos \u00edndices econ\u00f4micos e de infla\u00e7\u00e3o do Citigroup<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>3. Cliente CEIC? <\/strong>Leia este Report <a href=\"https:\/\/insights.ceicdata.com\/US-GDP-disappoints--but-consumers-power-on-Meanwhile-Europe-stagnates\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">completo aqui<\/a>.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Fontes: CEIC EPRF Insights \u2013 Industry Report.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A economia dos EUA cresceu a um ritmo mais lento do que o esperado no \u00faltimo trimestre de 2024, expandindo-se a uma taxa anualizada de 2,3% em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao trimestre anterior. Esse resultado ficou abaixo da estimativa de consenso de 2,6%. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":2987,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","cpa_authors":[],"cpa_override_default":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[899],"tags":[],"product":[1050],"region":[956],"class_list":["post-2986","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-publications","product-ceic","region-brazil"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin  - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>O PIB dos EUA decepciona \u2013 mas o consumo continua forte. 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