1.0ISIhttps://isimarkets.com/zh-hans/【CEIC数据透视】美国两大PMI调查对决：标准普尔PMI过度乐观是否由科技行业主导？rich600338<blockquote class="wp-embedded-content" data-secret="tus5vICflD"><a href="https://isimarkets.com/zh-hans/insights/ceicpmipmi/">【CEIC数据透视】美国两大PMI调查对决：标准普尔PMI过度乐观是否由科技行业主导？</a></blockquote><iframe sandbox="allow-scripts" security="restricted" src="https://isimarkets.com/zh-hans/insights/ceicpmipmi/embed/#?secret=tus5vICflD" width="600" height="338" title="“【CEIC数据透视】美国两大PMI调查对决：标准普尔PMI过度乐观是否由科技行业主导？” — ISI" data-secret="tus5vICflD" frameborder="0" marginwidth="0" marginheight="0" scrolling="no" class="wp-embedded-content"></iframe><script>
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https://isimarkets.com/wp-content/uploads/E688AAE5B18F2026-01-072014.26.38.png17761000采购经理人指数调查询问企业高管是否认为商业环境正在改善。在美国政府停摆导致官方数据渠道中断后，该指数今年受到了超乎寻常的关注。通常而言，只要调查的范围够广，即便覆盖的企业群体存在差异，得到的平均反馈往往相近——但今年情况截然不同。以下图表绘制了标普全球美国PMI与供应管理协会（ISM）同类调查的差异。点击这里通过CEIC数据平台查看图表PMI读数高于50表明企业对经营改善持乐观态度。长期来看，标普调查通常比ISM更显乐观，但二者走势往往同步。（这可能与调查基准预期"锚定效应"有关：过去三年间，ISM PMI中位数为